Know the Odds.
Before the Market Moves.
Built for compute desk analysts across PE, banks, and asset managers. GreenCIO turns grid, permit, and regulatory signals into probability-weighted insights 30–90 days before pricing moves.
Sample signal. Live data available in demo.
Sources monitored include DOE, LBNL, ISO queues, and state regulatory filings.
Built for compute desk analysts across PE, banks, and asset managers
How It Works
From Raw Signal to
Actionable Odds
Traditional intelligence tells a compute desk what happened. We tell you what's likely next, with confidence scores that tighten as new signals arrive.
Signal Ingestion
We continuously monitor:
- • 1,247 datacenter facilities
- • 23,000+ interconnection positions
- • 50 state regulatory bodies
- • Satellite imagery changes
Pattern Recognition
Each signal is compared to historical patterns:
- • Similar permit filings
- • Queue position trajectories
- • Regulatory precedents
- • Construction timelines
Probability Synthesis
Signals become probability-weighted forecasts:
You Move First
30–90 days before the market:
- • Reposition capital
- • Hedge regulatory exposure
- • Secure capacity early
- • Negotiate with leverage
“We don't just tell you there's risk. We tell you there's a 73% probability of that risk materializing, with a confidence interval that tightens as we gather more signal.”
That's the difference between reacting to outcomes and positioning for likelihoods.
The Blind Spot
$1 Trillion Is Moving Into AI Infrastructure.
Most Compute Desks Still React After the Market Moves.
Without probability-weighted intelligence, desks price risk late, capital gets trapped, and deals are sized on hope instead of odds.
Grid capacity bottleneck hits Ohio
A constraint emerges. Projects stall. Capital gets trapped. Headlines hit.
Most desks find out now.
The deal is already priced. The damage is done.
Day -30
Queue position shifts detected. Probability of constraint: 67%
GreenCIO flags interconnection delays
Pattern recognition across 23,000 queue positions. The odds shift.
Your compute desk is already positioned
Capital redeployed to ERCOT alternatives. Risk mitigated before it materialized.
Day -60
GreenCIO probability signal: 78% constraint likelihood. You moved.
This isn't hypothetical. Meta's $29B Louisiana financing hinges on grid availability. Ohio's 85% utilization mandate creates $8M annual penalty risk for underprepared operators. 6–12% of U.S. electricity is being claimed by datacenters—and growing.
The question isn't whether these constraints will matter. It's whether your desk will see them first.
What if you knew the probability, not just the possibility?
Interactive Demo
Try the Probability Engine
Sample data for illustration. In the demo, you can connect your regions, assets, and watchlists.
Region
Signal Type
Time Horizon
Signal
Ohio · Permit approval
Probability
73%
Confidence
68–78%
Updated
2 hours ago
What changed the odds
- →Similar filings approved in last 12 months
- →Zoning variance submitted
- →Utility service letter on file
Choose Your Path
Built for Compute Desk Analysts.
Mapped to Your Mandate.
Self-select the segment that matches your desk. You'll land on the workflows, signals, and outputs you actually use.
Compute Desk for Deal Sourcing
Spot power constraints before diligence starts. Size bids with probability-weighted grid and permit risk.
Primary signals: permit momentum, queue shifts, tariff risk.
Compute Desk for Underwriting
Flag borrower exposure before it hits covenants. Quantify grid risk that becomes credit risk.
Primary signals: interconnection delays, tariff shifts, borrower exposure.
Compute Desk for Portfolio Risk
Track probability-weighted transition risk across holdings and regions.
Primary signals: regulatory rulings, grid constraints, capacity pricing.
Same platform. Compute desk outputs tuned to your mandate.
Get Your Personalized DemoThe Agentic Workflow
From Signal to Probability
GreenCIO doesn't just alert you to events. We synthesize raw signals into calibrated probability distributions you can act on—before the market prices them in.
Analyze
Six specialist agents continuously ingest signals from interconnection queues, regulatory filings, permit databases, and satellite imagery—building real-time probability distributions across your target regions.
Predict
Signals are evaluated against historical patterns to produce calibrated probability distributions. A permit filing becomes a 73% approval probability. A queue shift becomes a 67% constraint risk.
Act
Probability signals arrive 30–90 days before market pricing. You reposition capital, hedge regulatory exposure, or secure capacity—before competitors know there's an opportunity.
Real Signals
The Intelligence That Moves First
These are the kinds of signals our agents surface. Early detection. Specific data. Actionable intelligence.
Grid Constraint Early Warning
Ohio permit filing detected 47 days before public announcement. Investor positioned before $2.1B in competing capital arrived.
47 days
Lead time advantage
1,247
Facilities tracked
Interconnection Queue Analysis
MISO queue bottleneck identified. 8 projects delayed 18+ months. Early signal allowed capital reallocation to ERCOT alternatives.
18 mo
Delay avoided
23,000+
Queue positions monitored
Regulatory Risk Detection
PUCO 85% utilization rule flagged 31 days before final ruling. Portfolio adjusted to meet new compliance thresholds.
31 days
Pre-ruling notice
50 states
Regulatory coverage
Social Proof
What Compute Desks Want to Measure
Replace the illustrative examples below with approved testimonials and outcomes.
Illustrative example
“We shifted capital after seeing a grid constraint signal 42 days early. It changed our bid strategy.”
Compute Desk Lead
Mid-Market Infrastructure Fund
Illustrative example
“Probability-weighted signals let us quantify borrower exposure before tariff changes hit our covenants.”
Credit Risk Director
Regional Bank
Illustrative example
“We moved from static ESG reports to live probability scores across the portfolio.”
Portfolio Analyst
Asset Manager
Behind the Scenes
Six Specialist Agents.
One Unified Probability Output.
Each agent watches a single domain: grid capacity, permits, regulation, investment signals, costs, and geopolitical exposure. Together, they turn raw signals into probability scores your compute desk can act on.
Grid
Stability
Transition
Risk
Asset
Optimization
Investment
Intelligence
Cost
Prediction
Geopolitical
Analyst
Ohio Datacenter Expansion
ERCOT Grid Constraint
Signals update continuously. Confidence ranges are included in the demo.
What each agent tracks
Grid Stability
Autonomous load balancing, predictive rerouting, frequency deviation response. Monitors 23,000+ queue positions. Calculates P(capacity available) for any site.
Transition Risk
PPA performance analysis, REC portfolio hedging, carbon price modeling, regulatory impact assessment. Calculates P(regulatory impact) for your portfolio.
Asset Optimization
Predictive maintenance, anomaly detection, battery storage optimization, service dispatch planning. Calculates P(operational efficiency) by asset.
Investment Intelligence
Automated due diligence, risk/return modeling, arbitrage identification, portfolio benchmarking. Calculates P(deal viability) with confidence intervals.
Cost Prediction
Self-improving cost models, weather impact forecasting, hidden cost identification, explainable LCOE. Calculates P(cost trajectory) with full transparency.
Geopolitical Analyst
Sovereign stability modeling, sanctions exposure, supply chain chokepoints, critical mineral tracking. Calculates P(geopolitical disruption) by region.
When one signal shifts, the rest update with it. That's how you get a single, probability-weighted view instead of a pile of alerts.
Your Competitors Are Moving Fast.
Is Your Desk Ahead?
Every day without early intelligence is a day your competition is positioning. Get probability signals built for compute desks.
Sources
- DOE/LBNL estimate data centers at ~4.4% of US electricity in 2023, rising to 6.7–12% by 2028 —DOE,LBNL
- Ohio (PUCO) approved an 85% minimum usage rule for large data centers (12 years) —AEP Ohio,PUCO
- Meta’s ~$29B Louisiana data‑center financing (approx. $26B debt led by PIMCO + $3B equity Blue Owl) —Reuters
Live Intelligence
What We're Tracking Right Now
Permits filed. Grid capacity changed. Financing announced. Our agents catch it all. See the latest signals below.
See the full feedWeekly Intelligence Brief
The signals that moved markets this week. Grid constraints. Permit activity. Financing deals. One email, every Monday.