Free interactive tool
Price the option before you sign the hedge.
Black-76 pricing and expiry P/L for GPU-hour option positions — with the obsolescence drift equities models ignore.
Position
Position shape: long call
Premium
Pricing at 60% — model prices the premium
30% obsolescence drift
4.0%
Same engine as the compute-options-strategy skill our desk agents invoke. Old-generation GPU-hour prices trend toward zero by design — the decay overlay prices that in.
Modeled estimate. Black-76 outputs from your assumptions — not a quote, market price, or investment advice. Option positions can lose the entire premium and uncovered short calls have unbounded loss. Consult qualified professionals before any hedge or trade.
Premium (model)
$0.3245
10.8% of spot · paid $32.4K
Breakeven
$3.82
Expiry price where P/L = 0
Max loss
$32.4K
Max profit: unbounded
P/L at expiry — long call
100,000 GPU-hrsDecay-adjusted view
Expected price at expiry
$2.51
P/L on expected path
-$32.4K
ITM odds (risk-neutral)
28.2%
ITM odds on decay path
16.0%
Premium, annualized
21.6%/yr
Cash to collateralize
—
Risk notes
- On the decay-adjusted expected path this call expires worthless. Treat it as insurance against a supply squeeze, not an expected payout.
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